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Published on: 13/05/2022
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1.
An ambulance service claims that it takes on the average 8.9 minutes to reach its destination in emergency calls. To check on this claim, the agency which licenses ambulance services has them timed on 50 emergency calls, getting a mean of 9.3 minutes with a standard deviation of 1.6 minutes. What can they conclude at 5% level of significance.
2.
The mean weekly sales of soap bars in departmental stores were 146.3 bars per store. After an advertising campaign the mean weekly sales in 400 stores for a typical week increased to 153.7 and showed a standard deviation of 17.2. Was the advertising campaign successful at 95% confidence limit?
3.
A manufacturer of ball pens claims that a certain pen he manufactures has a mean writing life of 400 pages with a standard deviation of 20 pages. A purchasing agent selects a sample of 100 pens and puts them for test. The mean writing life for the sample was 390 pages. Should the purchasing agent reject the manufactures claim at 1% level?
4.
The mean life time of a sample of 169 light bulbs manufactured by a company is found to be 1350 hours with a standard deviation of 100 hours. Establish 90% confidence limits within which the mean life time of light bulbs is expected to lie.
5.
A machine produces a component of a product with a standard deviation of 1.6 cm in length. A random sample of 64 componentsvwas selected from the output and this sample has a mean length of 90 cm. The customer will reject the part if it is either less than 88 cm or more than 92 cm. Does the 95% confidence interval for the true mean length of all the components produced ensure acceptance by the customer?
1.
Sample size n = 50
Sample mean \(\bar { x } =9.3\) minutes
Sample S.D s = 1.6 minutes
Population mean μ = 8.9 minutes
Null hypothesis H0: μ = 8.9
Alternative hypothesis H1: μ = 8.9 (two tail)
Level of significance μ = 0.05
Test statistic \(Z=\frac { \bar { x } -\mu }{ \frac { \sigma }{ \sqrt { n } } } \sim N(0,1)\)
\(\\ Z=\frac { 9.3-8.9 }{ \frac { 1.6 }{ \sqrt { 50 } } } =\frac { 0.4 }{ 0.2263 } =1.7676\)
Calculated value Z = 1.7676
Critical value at 5% level of significance is \({ Z }_{ \frac { \alpha }{ 2 } }=1.96\)
Inference: Since the calculated value is less than table value i.e., \(Z<{ Z }_{ \frac { \alpha }{ 2 } }\) at 5% level of significance, the null hypothesis is accepted.
Therefore we conclude that an ambulance service claims on the average 8.9 minutes to reach its destination in emergency calls.
2.
Sample size n = 400 stores
Sample mean \(\bar x\) = 153.7 bars
Sample SD s = 17.2 bars
Population mean m = 146.3 bars
Since population SD is unknown we can consider the sample SD s = \(\sigma\)
Null Hypothesis :
The advertising campaign is not successful i.e, H0: \(\mu\) = 146.3
(There is no significant difference between the mean weekly sales of soap bars in department stores before and after advertising campaign)
Alternative Hypothesis H1:
\(\mu\) >143.3 (Right tail test). The advertising campaign was successful
Level of significance \(\sigma\) = 0.05
Test statistic :
\(Z=\frac { \bar { x } -\mu }{ \frac { \sigma }{ \sqrt { n } } } \sim N(0,1)\)
\(Z=\frac { 153.7-146.3 }{ \frac { 17.2 }{ \sqrt { 400 } } } \)
\(=\frac { 7.4 }{ 0.86 } =8.605\)
\(\therefore\) Z = 8.605
Comparing the calculated value Z=8.605 and the significant value or table value \({ Z }_{ \alpha }=1.645.\) We get 8.605 > 1.645
Inference:
Since, the calculated value is much greater than table value i.e., Z > \({ Z }_{ \alpha }\), it is highly significant at 5% level of significance.
Hence we reject the null hypothesis H0 and conclude that the advertising campaign was definitely successful in promoting sales.
3.
Sample size n =100, Sample mean \(\bar x\) = 390 pages, Population mean \(\mu\) = 400 pages
Population SD \(\sigma\) = 20 pages
The sample is a large sample and so we apply Z -test
Null Hypothesis:
There is no significant difference between the sample mean and the population mean of writing life of pen he manufactures, i.e., H0 : \(\mu\) = 400
Alternative Hypothesis:
There is significant difference between the sample mean and the population mean of writing life of pen he manufactures, i.e., H1:\(\mu\neq\) 400 (two tailed test)
The level of significance \(\alpha\) = 1% = 0.01
Applying the test statistic
\(Z=\frac{\bar{x}-\mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} \sim N(0,1) ; \)
\(Z=\frac{390-400}{\frac{20}{\sqrt{100}}}=\frac{-10}{2}=-5, \therefore|Z|=5\)
Thus the calculated value |Z| = 5 and the significant value or table value \({ Z }_{ \frac { \sigma }{ 2 } }=2.58\)
Comparing the calculated and table values, we found Z > \({ Z }_{ \frac { \sigma }{ 2 } }\) i.e., 5 > 2.58
Inference: Since the calculated value is greater than table value i.e., \(Z>{ Z }_{ \frac { \sigma }{ 2 } }\) at 1% level of significance, the null hypothesis is rejected and Therefore we concluded that \(\mu \neq400\) and the manufacturer’s claim is rejected at 1% level of significance.
4.
Given: n = 169, \(\bar x\) =1350 hours, \(\sigma\) =100 hours, since the level of significance is (100-90)% =10% thus \(\alpha\) is 0.1, hence the significant value at 10% is \({ Z }_{ \frac { \alpha }{ 2 } }\)=1.645
\(S.E.=\frac { \sigma }{ \sqrt { n } } =\frac { 100 }{ \sqrt { 169 } } =7.69\)
Hence 90% confidence limits for the population mean are
\(\bar { x } -{ Z }_{ \frac { \sigma }{ 2 } }<\mu <\bar { x } +{ Z }_{ \frac { \sigma }{ 2 } }SE\)
\(\begin{gathered} 1350-(1.645 \times 7.69) \leq \mu \leq 1350+(1.645 \times 7.69) \end{gathered}\)
\(1337.35 \leq \mu \leq 1362.65\)
Hence the mean life time of light bulbs is expected to lie between the interval (1337.35, 1362.65).
5.
Here φ is the mean length of the components in the population.
The formula for the confidence interval is
\(\bar{x}-Z_{\alpha / 2} \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}<\mu<\bar{x}+Z_{\alpha / 2} \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\)
\({ Here } \ \sigma=1.6, Z_{\alpha / 2}=1.96, \bar{x}=90 \text { and } \mathrm{n}=64\)
Then \(S.E=\frac { \sigma }{ \sqrt { n } } =\frac { 1.6 }{ \sqrt { 64 } } =0.2\)
Therefore, 90 - (1.96 x 0.2)\(\le φ \le\) 90 + (1.96 x 0.2)
\(\text { i.e. } \ (89.61 \leq \varphi \leq 90.39)\)
This implies that the probability that the true value of the population mean length of the components will fall in this interval (89.61,90.39) at 95% . Hence we concluded that 95% confidence interval ensures acceptance of the component by the consumer.
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