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Published on: 16/10/2019
Probability Distributions
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1.
Write any 2 examples for Poisson distribution.
2.
The mean of a binomial distribution is 5 and standard deviation is 2. Determine the distribution.
3.
If the probability of success is 0.09, how many trials are needed to have a probability of atleast one success as 1/3 or more ?
4.
Write down the conditions for which the binomial distribution can be used.
5.
Define Bernoulli trials.
6.
Define Binomial distribution.
7.
In a book of 520 pages, 390 typo-graphical errors occur. Assuming Poisson law for the number of errors per page, find the probability that a random sample of 5 pages will contain no error.
8.
In tossing of a five fair coin, find the chance of getting exactly 3 heads.
9.
10.
Mention the properties of binomial distribution.
11.
Weights of fish caught by a traveler are approximately normally distributed with a mean weight of 2.25 kg and a standard deviation of 0.25 kg. What percentage of fish weigh less than 2 kg?
12.
Assume the mean height of children to be 69.25 cm with a variance of 10.8 cm. How many children in a school of 1,200 would you expect to be over 74 cm tall?
13.
When counting red blood cells, a square grid is used, over which a drop of blood is evenly distributed. Under the microscope an average of 8 erythrocytes are observed per single square. What is the probability that exactly 5 erythrocytes are found in one square?
14.
Suppose A and B are two equally strong table tennis players. Which of the following two events is more probable:
(a) A beats B exactly in 3 games out of 4 or
(b) A beats B exactly in 5 games out of 8 ?
15.
If the probability that an individual suffers a bad reaction from injection of a given serum is 0.001, determines the probability that out of 2,000 individuals
(a) exactly 3, and
(b) more than 2 individuals will suffer a bad reaction.
16.
The random variable X is normally distributed with a mean of 70 and a standard deviation of 10. What is the probability that X is between 72 and 84?
0.683
0.954
0.271
0.340
17.
The average percentage of failure in a certain examination is 40. The probability that out of a group of 6 candidates atleast 4 passed in the examination are ________.
0.5443
0.4543
0.5543
0.4573
18.
A manufacturer produces switches and experiences that 2 per cent switches are defective. The probability that in a box of 50 switches, there are atmost two defective is ________.
2.5 e-1
e-1
2e-1
none of the above
19.
In turning out certain toys in a manufacturing company, the average number of defectives is 1%. The probability that the sample of 100 toys there will be 3 defectives is ________.
0.0613
0.613
0.00613
0.3913
20.
If Z is a standard normal variate, the proportion of items lying between Z = –0.5 and Z = –3.0 is ________.
0.4987
0.1915
0.3072
0.3098
21.
Normal distribution was invented by ________.
Laplace
De-Moivre
Gauss
all the above
1.
(i) Number of lightnings per second.
(ii) Number of printing mistakes per page in a textbook.
2.
Given mean of a binomial distribution is 5
np = 5 ....(1)
Also, standard deviation is 2 ⇒ Variance = 22 = 4
∴ npq = 4...(2)
(2) \(\div \) (1) given, \(\frac { npq }{ np } \)=\(\frac { 4 }{ 5 } \)
⇒ q = \(\frac { 4 }{ 5 } \)
p = 1-q = \(1-\frac { 4 }{ 5 } =\frac { 1 }{ 5 } \)
Substituting p = \(\frac { 1 }{ 5 } \) in (1) we get
n\(\left( \frac { 1 }{ 5 } \right) \) = 5 ⇒ n = 25
∴ The binomial distribution is nCx pxqn-x, x = 0,1,2,....n
⇒ 25Cx \(\left( \frac { 1 }{ 5 } \right) ^{ x }\left( \frac { 4 }{ 5 } \right) ^{ 25-x }\), x = 0,1,2,....25.
3.
Given probability of success p = 0.09
∴ q = 1 - p = 1 - 0.09 = 0.91
n = 1
Also P(atleast one success) = \(\frac { 1 }{ 3 } \) or more
∴ P(X≥1) = \(\frac { 1 }{ 3 } \)
⇒ 1-P(X < 1) = \(\frac { 1 }{ 3 } \)
⇒ P(X<1) =\(1-\frac { 1 }{ 3 } =\frac { 2 }{ 3 } \)
⇒ P(X = 0) =\(\frac { 2 }{ 3 } \)
⇒ nCx pxqn-x = \(\frac { 2 }{ 3 } \)
Putting x = 0,
nC0 (0.09)0 (0.91)n-0 = \(\frac { 2 }{ 3 } \)
⇒ (0.91)n = \(\frac { 2 }{ 3 } \) =0.6666
when (0.91) is Jultiplied 5 times we are getting 0.6240
∴ n = 5 or more
Here number of trails are 5 or more.
4.
The binomial distribution can be used under the following conditions.
(i) The number of trials en' is finite,
(ii) The trials are independent of each other.
(iii) The probability of success 'p' is constant for each trial.
(iv) In every trial there are only two possible outcomes namely success or failure.
5.
A random experiment whose outcomes are of two types namely success S and failure P, occurring with probabilities p and q is called a Bernoulli trial.
6.
A random variable X is said to follow binomial distribution with parameter n and p, if it assumes only non-negative value and its probability mass function is given by
P(X = x) = P(x) = q = 1-p \(=\begin{cases} \begin{matrix} { { n }_{ C } }_{ x }P^{ x }{ q }^{ n-x },x=0,1,2,...n; \end{matrix} \\ \begin{matrix} 0, & otherwise \end{matrix} \end{cases}\)
7.
The average number of typographical errors per page in the book is given by \(\lambda\) = (390/520) = 0.75.
Hence using Poisson probability law, the probability of x errors per page is given by
\(P(X=x)=\frac { { e }^{ -\lambda }{ \lambda }^{ x } }{ x! } ={ e }^{ -0.75 }=\frac{(0.75)^x}{x!}\) x = 0,1,2,3……
The required probability that a random sample of 5 pages will contain no error is given by :
[P(X = 0)]5 = (e-0.75)5 = e-3.75
8.
Let X be a random variable follows binomial distribution with p = q = 1/2
P (3 heads) = \(5{ C }_{ x }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ x }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ 5-x }\)
\(={ 5C }_{ 3 }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ 3 }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ 5-3 }\)
\(=5{ C }_{ 3 }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ 5 }\)
\(=\frac { 5 }{ 16 } \)
9.
10.
(i) Binomial distribution is symmetrical if p = q = 0.5. It is skew symmetric if p≠q. It is positively skewed if p < 0.5 and it is negatively skewed if p > 0.5.
(ii) For binomial distribution, variance is less than mean.
Variance = npq = (np)q < np < mean.
11.
We are given mean μ = 2.25 and standard deviation σ = 0.25.
Probability that weight of fish is less than 2 kg is P(X < 2.0)
When x = 20 \(Z=\frac { X-\mu }{ \sigma } =\frac { 2.0-2.25 }{ 0.25 } =P(Z<-1.0)=P(Z>1.0)\)
= 0.5 – 0.3413 = 0.1587
Therefore 15.87% of fishes weigh less than 2 kg.
12.

Let the distribution of heights be normally distributed with mean mean 68.22 and standard deviation = 3.286
\(Z=\frac { X-\mu }{ \sigma } =\frac { X-69.25 }{ 3.286 } \)
When X = 74
\(Z=\frac { X-\mu }{ \sigma } =\frac { 74-69.25 }{ 3.286 } =1.4455\)
Now P(Z > 74) = P(Z > 1.44)
= 0.5 – 0.4251
= 0.0749
Expected number of children to be over 74 cm out of 1200 children
= 1200 × 0.0749 ≈ 90 children
13.
Let X be a random variable follows poisson distribution with number of erythrocytes.
Hence, Mean λ = 8 erythrocytes/single square
P(exactly 5 erythrocytes are in one square) = P(X = 5)=\(\\ \frac { { e }^{ -\lambda }{ \lambda }^{ x } }{ x! } =\frac { { e }^{ -8 }{ 8 }^{ 5 } }{ 5! } \)
\(=\frac { 0.000335\times 32768 }{ 120 } \)
= 0.0916
The probability that exactly 5 erythrocytes are found in one square is 0.0916. i.e there are 9.16% chances that exactly 5 erythrocytes are found in one square.
14.
Here p = q = 1/2
(a) probability of A beating B in exactly 3 games out of 4
\(\left( \begin{matrix} 4 \\ 3 \end{matrix} \right) { (\frac { 1 }{ 2 } ) }^{ 3 }\left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) ^{ 4-3 }\)
= 1/4 = 25%
(b) probability of A beating B in exactly 5 games out of 8
\(\left( \begin{matrix} 8 \\ 5 \end{matrix} \right) { (\frac { 1 }{ 2 } ) }^{ 5 }\left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) ^{ 8-5 }\)
\(=\frac { 7 }{ 32 } \) = 21.875%
Clearly, the first event is more probable.
15.
Consider a 2,000 individuals getting injection of a given serum , n = 2000
Let X be the number of individuals suffering a bad reaction.
Let p be the probability that an individual suffers a bad reaction = 0.001
and q = 1– p = 1– 0.001 = 0.999
Since n is large and p is small, Binomial Distribtuion approximated to poisson distribution
So, λ = np = 2000 × 0.001 = 2
(i) Probability out of 2000, exactly 3 will suffer a bad reaction is
\(P(X=3)=\frac { { e }^{ -\lambda }{ \lambda }^{ x } }{ x! } =\frac { { e }^{ -2 }{ 2 }^{ 3 } }{ 3! } =0.1804\)
(ii) Probability out of 2000, more than 2 individuals will suffer a bad reaction
= P(X > 2)
1-[P(X\(\le\)2)]
= 1 – [P(x = 0) + P(x = 1) + P(x = 2)]
\(=1-\left[ \frac { { e }^{ -2 }{ 2 }^{ 0 } }{ 0! } +\frac { { e }^{ -2 }{ 2 }^{ 1 } }{ 1! } +\frac { { e }^{ -2 }{ 2 }^{ 2 } }{ 2! } \right] \)
\(=1-{ e }^{ 2 }\left( \frac { { 2 }^{ 0 } }{ 0! } +\frac { { 2 }^{ 1 } }{ 1! } +\frac { { 2 }^{ 2 } }{ 2! } \right) \)
= 0.323
16.
(d)
0.340
17.
(a)
0.5443
18.
(a)
2.5 e-1
19.
(a)
0.0613
20.
(c)
0.3072
21.
(b)
De-Moivre
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