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Published on: 01/10/2019
Probability Distributions
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1.
In tossing of a five fair coin, find the chance of getting exactly 3 heads.
2.
Weights of fish caught by a traveler are approximately normally distributed with a mean weight of 2.25 kg and a standard deviation of 0.25 kg. What percentage of fish weigh less than 2 kg?
3.
Assume the mean height of children to be 69.25 cm with a variance of 10.8 cm. How many children in a school of 1,200 would you expect to be over 74 cm tall?
4.
Suppose A and B are two equally strong table tennis players. Which of the following two events is more probable:
(a) A beats B exactly in 3 games out of 4 or
(b) A beats B exactly in 5 games out of 8 ?
5.
If x is a binomially distributed random variable with E(x) = 2 and van (x) = 4/3 Find P(x = 5)
6.
7.
A sample of 125 dry battery cells tested to find the length of life produced the following resultd with mean 12 and SD 3 hours. Assuming that the data to be normal distributed , what percentage of battery cells are expected to have life
(i) more than 13 hours
(ii) less than 5 hours
(iii) between 9 and 14 hours
8.
The marks obtained in a certain exam follow normal distribution with mean 45 and SD 10. If 1,300 students appeared at the examination, calculate the number of students scoring
(i) less than 35 marks and
(ii) more than 65 marks.
9.
If X is a normal variate with mean 30 and SD 5. Find the probabilities that
(i) 26 ≤ X ≤ 40
(ii) X > 45
10.
The sum and product of the mean and variance of a binomial distribution are 24 and 128. Find the distribution.
1.
Let X be a random variable follows binomial distribution with p = q = 1/2
P (3 heads) = \(5{ C }_{ x }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ x }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ 5-x }\)
\(={ 5C }_{ 3 }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ 3 }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ 5-3 }\)
\(=5{ C }_{ 3 }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ 5 }\)
\(=\frac { 5 }{ 16 } \)
2.
We are given mean μ = 2.25 and standard deviation σ = 0.25.
Probability that weight of fish is less than 2 kg is P(X < 2.0)
When x = 20 \(Z=\frac { X-\mu }{ \sigma } =\frac { 2.0-2.25 }{ 0.25 } =P(Z<-1.0)=P(Z>1.0)\)
= 0.5 – 0.3413 = 0.1587
Therefore 15.87% of fishes weigh less than 2 kg.
3.

Let the distribution of heights be normally distributed with mean mean 68.22 and standard deviation = 3.286
\(Z=\frac { X-\mu }{ \sigma } =\frac { X-69.25 }{ 3.286 } \)
When X = 74
\(Z=\frac { X-\mu }{ \sigma } =\frac { 74-69.25 }{ 3.286 } =1.4455\)
Now P(Z > 74) = P(Z > 1.44)
= 0.5 – 0.4251
= 0.0749
Expected number of children to be over 74 cm out of 1200 children
= 1200 × 0.0749 ≈ 90 children
4.
Here p = q = 1/2
(a) probability of A beating B in exactly 3 games out of 4
\(\left( \begin{matrix} 4 \\ 3 \end{matrix} \right) { (\frac { 1 }{ 2 } ) }^{ 3 }\left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) ^{ 4-3 }\)
= 1/4 = 25%
(b) probability of A beating B in exactly 5 games out of 8
\(\left( \begin{matrix} 8 \\ 5 \end{matrix} \right) { (\frac { 1 }{ 2 } ) }^{ 5 }\left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) ^{ 8-5 }\)
\(=\frac { 7 }{ 32 } \) = 21.875%
Clearly, the first event is more probable.
5.
The p.m.f. Binomial distribution is
p(x) = nCxpxqn-x
Given that E(x) = 2
For the Binomial distribution mean is given by np = 2 ... (1)
Given that var (x) = 4/3
For Binomial distribution variance is given by npq=4/3 ...(2)
\(\frac { (2) }{ (1) }⇒\frac {npq}{np} =\frac { \frac { 4 }{ 3 } }{ 2 } =\frac { 4 }{ 6 } =\frac { 2 }{ 3 } \)
q = 2/3 and p = 1–2/3 = 1/3
Substitute is (1) we get
n = 6
Hence, P(X = 5) = 6C5\({ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 3 } \right) }^{ 5 }{ \left( \frac { 2 }{ 3 } \right) }^{ 6-5 }\) = 0.0108
6.
7.
Let X denote the length of life of dry battery cells follows normal distribution with mean 12 and SD 3 hours

(i) more than 13 hours
P(X > 13)
When X = 13
\(Z=\frac { X-\mu }{ \sigma } =\frac { 13-12 }{ 3 } =0.333\)
P(X > 13) = P(Z > 0.333) = 0.5 – 0.1293 = 0.3707
The expected battery cells life to have more than 13 hours is 125 × 0.3707 = 46.34%

(ii) less than 5 hours
P(X < 5)
When X = 5
\(Z=\frac { X-\mu }{ \sigma } =\frac { 5-12 }{ 3 } =-2.333\)
P(X < 5) = P(Z < –2.333) = P(Z > 2.333)
= 0.5 – 0.4901 = 0.0099
The expected battery cells life to have more than 13 hours is 125 × 0.0099 = 1.23%

(iii) between 9 and 14 hours
When X = 9
\(Z=\frac { X-\mu }{ \sigma } =\frac { 9-12 }{ 3 } =-1\)
When X = 14
\(Z=\frac { X-\mu }{ \sigma } =\frac { 14-12 }{ 3 } =0.667\)
P(9 < X < 14) = P(–1 < Z < 0.667)
= P(0 < Z < 1) + P(0 < Z < 0.667)
= 0.3413 + 0.2486
= 0.5899
The expected battery cells life to have more than 13 hours is 125 x 0.5899 = 73.73%
8.

Let X be the normal variate showing the score of the candidate with mean 45 and standard deviation 10.
(i) less than 35 marks
When X = 35
\(Z=\frac { X-\mu }{ \sigma } =\frac { 35-45 }{ 10 } =-1\)
P(X < 35) = P(Z < –1)
P(Z > 1) = 0.5 – P(0 < Z < 1)
= 0.5 – 0.3413
= 0.1587
Expected number of students scoring less than 35 marks are 0.1587 × 1300
= 206

(ii) more than 65 marks
When X = 65
\(Z=\frac { X-\mu }{ \sigma } =\frac { 65-45 }{ 10 } =2.0\)
P(X > 65) = P(Z > 2.0)
0.5 – P(0 < Z < 2.0)
0.5 – 0.4772
= 0.0228
Expected number of students scoring more than 65 marks are 0.0228 x 1300 = 30
9.

Here mean μ= 30 and standard deviation σ = 5
(i) When X = 26 Z=(X−μ)/\(\sigma \) = (26 – 30)/5 = –0.8
And when X = 40 , z =\(\frac{40-30}{5}=2\)
Therefore,
P(26 < x < 40))
= P(–0.8 ≤ Z ≤ 0) + p(0 ≤ Z ≤ 2)
= P(0 ≤ Z ≤ 0.8) + P(0 ≤ Z ≤ 2)
= 0.2881 + 0.4772 (By tables)
= 0.7653

(ii) The probability that X≥45
When X = 45
\(z=\frac { X-\mu }{ \sigma } =\frac { 45-30 }{ 5 } =3\)
P( X ≥ 45) = P(Z ≥ 3)
= 0.5 – 0.49865
= 0.00135
10.
For Binomial Distribution the mean is np and varaiance is npq
Given values are np + npq = 24 np(1 + q) = 24 – (1)
Other term np × npq = 128 n2p2q = 128-(2)
From (1) we get np = 24/(1+q) which implies n2p2 = (24/(1+q))2
Substitute this value in equation (2) we get
\({ \left( \frac { 24 }{ 1+q } \right) }^{ 2 }q=128\) which implies 9q = 2(1+2q+q2)
(2q – 1)(q – 2) = 0
Where q =\(\frac{1}{2}\) and p =\(\frac{1}{2}\)
Substitute in (1) we get n = 32
Hence the binomial distribution \({ 32C }_{ x }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ x }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ 32-x }\)
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