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Published on: 04/09/2019
Probability Distributions
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1.
In a family of 3 children, what is the probability that there will be exactly 2 girls?
2.
Write down the conditions for which the binomial distribution can be used.
3.
Define Binomial distribution.
4.
In tossing of a five fair coin, find the chance of getting exactly 3 heads.
5.
Assuming one in 80 births is a case of twins, calculate the probability of 2 or more sets of twins on a day when 30 births occur.
6.
When counting red blood cells, a square grid is used, over which a drop of blood is evenly distributed. Under the microscope an average of 8 erythrocytes are observed per single square. What is the probability that exactly 5 erythrocytes are found in one square?
7.
A pair of dice is thrown 4 times. If getting a doublet is considered a success, find the probability of 2 successes.
8.
What is the probability of guessing correctly atleast six of the ten answers in a TRUE/FALSE objective test?
9.
The average percentage of failure in a certain examination is 40. The probability that out of a group of 6 candidates atleast 4 passed in the examination are ________.
0.5443
0.4543
0.5543
0.4573
10.
If for a binomial distribution b(n,p) mean = 4 and variance = 4/3, the probability, P(X ≥ 5) is equal to ________.
(2/3)6
(2/3)5(1/3)
(1/3)6
4(2/3)6
11.
An experiment succeeds twice as often as it fails. The chance that in the next six trials, there shall be at least four successes is ________.
240/729
489/729
496/729
251/729
12.
If Z is a standard normal variate, the proportion of items lying between Z = –0.5 and Z = –3.0 is ________.
0.4987
0.1915
0.3072
0.3098
13.
Normal distribution was invented by ________.
Laplace
De-Moivre
Gauss
all the above
1.
Let p he the probability of getting a girls
∴ p = \(\frac { 1 }{ 2 } \) [∵ one favourable event and total no of events is 2]
⇒ q = 1-p = 1-\(\frac { 1 }{ 2 } \) = \(\frac { 1 }{ 2 } \) and n = 3
∴ (getting exactly 2 girls)
= P(X = 2)
= 3C2\(\left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) ^{ 2 }\left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) ^{ 1 }\) [∵ p(x) = nCx pxqn-x, n = 3 and x = 2]
= \(3\left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) ^{ 3 }=3\times \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) ^{ 3 }=3\times \frac { 1 }{ 8 } \) = 0.375
P (getting exactly 2 girls) = 0.375.
2.
The binomial distribution can be used under the following conditions.
(i) The number of trials en' is finite,
(ii) The trials are independent of each other.
(iii) The probability of success 'p' is constant for each trial.
(iv) In every trial there are only two possible outcomes namely success or failure.
3.
A random variable X is said to follow binomial distribution with parameter n and p, if it assumes only non-negative value and its probability mass function is given by
P(X = x) = P(x) = q = 1-p \(=\begin{cases} \begin{matrix} { { n }_{ C } }_{ x }P^{ x }{ q }^{ n-x },x=0,1,2,...n; \end{matrix} \\ \begin{matrix} 0, & otherwise \end{matrix} \end{cases}\)
4.
Let X be a random variable follows binomial distribution with p = q = 1/2
P (3 heads) = \(5{ C }_{ x }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ x }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ 5-x }\)
\(={ 5C }_{ 3 }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ 3 }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ 5-3 }\)
\(=5{ C }_{ 3 }{ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ 5 }\)
\(=\frac { 5 }{ 16 } \)
5.
Let x devotes the set of twins on a day
P(twin birth) = p = 1/80 = 0.0125 and n = 30
The value of mean λ = np = 30 × 0.0125 = 0.375
Hence, X follows poisson distribution with p(x)\(\frac { { e }^{ -\lambda }{ \lambda }^{ x } }{ x! } \)
The probability is
P(2 or more) = 1 – [p (x = 0) + p (x = )] \(=1-\left[ \frac { { e }^{ -0.375 }{ (0.375) }^{ 0 } }{ 0! } +\frac { { e }^{ -0.375 }{ (0.375) }^{ 1 } }{ 1! } \right] \)
\(=1-{ e }^{ -0.375 }[1+0.375]\)
\(=1-(0.6873\times 1.375)\)
= 0.055
6.
Let X be a random variable follows poisson distribution with number of erythrocytes.
Hence, Mean λ = 8 erythrocytes/single square
P(exactly 5 erythrocytes are in one square) = P(X = 5)=\(\\ \frac { { e }^{ -\lambda }{ \lambda }^{ x } }{ x! } =\frac { { e }^{ -8 }{ 8 }^{ 5 } }{ 5! } \)
\(=\frac { 0.000335\times 32768 }{ 120 } \)
= 0.0916
The probability that exactly 5 erythrocytes are found in one square is 0.0916. i.e there are 9.16% chances that exactly 5 erythrocytes are found in one square.
7.
In a throw of a pair of dice the doublets are (1, 1) (2, 2) (3, 3) (4, 4) (5, 5) (6, 6)
Probability of getting a doublet p = 6/36 = 1/6
⇒ q = 1 – p = 5/6 and also n = 4 is given
The probability of successes
\(=\left( \begin{matrix} 4 \\ x \end{matrix} \right) { (\frac { 1 }{ 6 } ) }^{ x }\left( \frac { 5 }{ 6 } \right) ^{ 4-x }\)
Therefore the probability of 2 successes are
\(P(X=2)\left( \begin{matrix} 4 \\ 2 \end{matrix} \right) { (\frac { 1 }{ 6 } ) }^{ 2 }\left( \frac { 5 }{ 6 } \right) ^{ 4-2 }\)
\(=6\times \frac { 1 }{ 36 } \times \frac { 25 }{ 36 } \)
\(=\frac { 25 }{ 216 } \)
8.
Probability p of guessing an answer correctly is p = \(\frac{1}{2}\)
⇒ q = \(\frac{1}{2}\)
Probability of guessing correctly x answers in 10 questions
\(P(X=x)=p(x)^{ n }{ C }_{ x }{ q }^{ n-x }=10Cx\left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) \)
The required probability P(X ≥ 6) = P(6) + P(7) + P(8) + P(9) + P(10)
\(={ \left( \frac { 1 }{ 2 } \right) }^{ 10 }\left[ { 10C }_{ 6 }+{ 10C }_{ 7 }+{ 10C }_{ 8 }+{ 10C }_{ 9 }+{ 10C }_{ 10 } \right] \)
\(=\left[ \frac { 1 }{ 1024 } \right] [210+120+45+10+1]\)
\(=\frac { 193 }{ 512 } \)
9.
(a)
0.5443
10.
(d)
4(2/3)6
11.
(c)
496/729
12.
(c)
0.3072
13.
(b)
De-Moivre
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